National Vaccine Information Center

Global Impact of COVID-19 Vaccines

Published: September 16, 2023

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An article published on September 30, 2021 in the European Journal of Epidemiology reported that vaccination has had no impact on COVID-19 rates. According to the published data that looked at COVID-19 cases in 68 countries and 2947 U.S. counties reported: 

At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days. In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people.

Study authors recommended that strategies focusing on vaccination as a primary method of mitigating COVID-19 be re-evaluated.

A conducted primarily by Danish researchers and published in April 2023 found that mRNA COVID-19 vaccines have had no impact on reducing all-cause mortality in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Scientists involved in the research found that mRNA COVID-19 vaccines were only protective against fatal infection, while adenovirus vaccines such as the Janssen/Johnson & Johnson vaccine “were associated with lower overall mortality and lower non-accident, non-COVID-19 mortality.” The paper also found that while mRNA COVID-19 vaccines reduced COVID-19 deaths, the vaccine increased cardiovascular deaths, but that the data for either was not statistically significant. 

COVID-19 Vaccines and Mortality Rates

An analysis conducted for The Health 202 in the fall of 2022 reported a higher mortality rate in COVID-19 vaccinated individuals than those who were unvaccinated. According to the study, in August 2022, 58 percent of deaths occurred in individuals who were either vaccinated or vaccinated and boosted. This was an increase from earlier in the year, when an estimated 42 percent of deaths occurred among vaccinated people. 

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